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İŞL353U

İŞLETME KARAR MODELLERİ - Deneme Sınavı - 8

Ara Sınav 48421
Soru 1
What is the correct order of the steps of decision making process above?
Soru 2
Which step of decision making process includes a good understanding of management assumptions, organizational boundaries and the desired conditions for the problem?
Soru 3
I. Decision making under limited time II. Decision making under certainty III. Decision making under uncertainty IV. Decision making under risks  Which of the above are the decision-making environments according to the level of knowledge?
Soru 4
      States of Nature

      S1(0.4)  S2(0.6)

A1   50        110

A2  100         60

A3   60        100

A4   70          90

A5   90          70

Which decision alternative (A1..A5) of the TL gain strategy table above should be chosen depend on Expected Monetary Value criterion ?

Soru 5
States of Nature

       S1(0.6)  S2(0.4)

A1   50         110

A2  100          60

A3   60         100

A4   70           90

A5   90           70

Which decision alternative (A1..A5) of the TL cost strategy table above should be chosen depend on Expected Monetary Value criterion?

Soru 6
States of Nature

       S1(0.3)  S2(0.5)  S3(0.2)

A1   50         110         30

A2  100          60         50

A3   70           90         60

What is the Expected Monetary Value of the TL gain strategy table above ?

Soru 7
States of Nature

      S1(0.5)  S2(0.2)  S3(0.3)

A1   50        110         30

A2   90          40         50

A3   70        100         10

What is the Expected Monetary Value of the TL cost strategy table above ?

Soru 8
States of Nature

      S1(0.3)  S2(0.5)  S3(0.2)

A1   50        110         30

A2  100         60         50

A3   70          90          60

What is the maximum Expected Opportunity Loss of the TL gain strategy table above ?

Soru 9
States of Nature

       S1(0.2)  S2(0.3)  S3(0.5)

A1   50         110          30

A2  100          60          50

A3   70           90          60

What is the minimum Expected Opportunity Loss of the TL cost strategy table above ?

Soru 10
States of Nature

       S1(0.5)  S2(0.2)  S3(0.3)

A1   50         110         30

A2   90           40         50

A3   70         100         10

What is the highest gain value of the TL gain strategy table above according to the maximum probability criterion ?

Soru 11
States of Nature

      S1(0.2)  S2(0.3)  S3(0.5)

A1   50        110         30

A2   90          40         50

A3   70        100         10

What is the lowest loss value of the TL gain strategy table above according to the maximum probability criterion ?

Soru 12
For a TL cost strategy table the lowest expected value is 625 and the expected value with perfect information is 575. What is the expected value of perfect information ?
Soru 13
The probability of A1 is 0.20, the probability of A2 is 0.80. The probability that A1 costs 100 TL is 0.80, and the probability that A2 costs 100 TL is 0.20. It costed 100 TL. What is the probability that A2 occured ?
Soru 14
What is "expected regret" in decision making?
Soru 15
Which of the following is true about maximum probability criterion?
Soru 16
_____ is a graphical technique that represents all the elements in the decision problem with various geometric symbols. 

Which of the following best completes the blank above?

Soru 17
What is the expected value of perfect information (EVPI)?
Soru 18
What is a decision node in a decision tree?
Soru 19
Bayes’ theorem provides a way for _____ prior probabilities with probabilities obtained by other sources; revised or posterior probabilities.

Which of the following best fills the blank above?

Soru 20
What is the decision situation in which the decision maker knows the probability of occurrence of each state of nature?